Hello! I am a Ph.D student in political science studying applied statistics.

On the Epistemology of Statistics Sep 14

articles that changed my thinking on what/how we can learn from data

Statistical Education in Political Science May 14

research design, probability, and mathematical statistics are necessary to a good statistical education

"Data Mining as Exploratory Data Analysis" (with Fridolin Linder)

tl;dr: observational data often cannot support casual inference and statistical learning is a good way to do exploratory data analysis

presented (as a poster) at POLMETH 2014 (NSF funded travel)

the code (on GitHub), data (on request), and R package

"An Empirical Evaluation of Explanations for State Repression" (with Daniel W. Hill Jr.)

*American Political Science Review* 2014, 108(3): 661-687

tl;dr: null-hypothesis significance testing is over/mis-used, model validation is important, and democracy/civil conflict partially measure state repression

presented at Peace Science 2013

the code (on GitHub), data (*.zip), and online appendix

the anynomous referee reviews, and our response memos for rounds 1 and 2

a summary post

R package containing functions useful for exploratory data analysis using random forests

created in support of "Data Mining as Exploratory Data Analysis"