The feed.
Aerobic Threshold Estimation using DFA a1, Mar 2021
too much time on my hands
Greenwater to Hyak from Seattle, Sep 2020
how to ride from Rainier to Hyak
The Taylor Mountain Raging River Connector, Jan 2019
how to ride from Taylor Mountain to Rattlesnake Ridge
Jamis Renegade Elite 1000 Hour Review, May 2018
me talking about my bike
Replication (Reproduction) as a Policy, May 2018
journal policies intended to increase trust
No p-Values at *Political Analysis*?, Feb 2018
Political Analysis bans p-values
Cycling "Washington['s] Wild Roads", Jul 2017
riding all manner of shit roads with nice views
Hurricane Ridge and Obstruction Point Roads, Jul 2017
ride up the aforementioned roads on my bike
Monte-Carlo Methods for Prediction Functions, Dec 2016
Update/Benchmark of edarf, Nov 2016
A performance increase for partial dependence in edarf
P-Hacking and Shrinkage, Nov 2016
behavioral and statistical reasons why experiments fail to replicate
Peer-Review is a Weak Signal of Paper Quality, Aug 2016
peer-review is a high variance estimator of paper quality
Academic Technical Debt, Aug 2016
academic code has technical debt
Generalization Error for Model Validation, Jul 2016
generalization error should be used for model evaluation more frequently
Salsa Vaya 4,000 Mile Review, Jul 2016
me talking about my bike
Kenya, Jan 2016
safari and hiking/climbing in Kenya
Washington, May 2015
climbing in the Cascades
Git and GitHub Tutorial, Jan 2015
the basics of how to set up and use git (from the cli) and github for scientists
Ecuador, Jan 2015
hiking and mountaineering in Ecuador
Monte Carlo for Teaching Applied Statistics, Dec 2014
real data is overused in applied statistics classes in political science
Data Contingent Analysis of Historical Data, Oct 2014
analysis of historical data is contingent on the data (duh!)
Redux of An Empirical Evaluation of Explanations for State Repression, Oct 2014
analysis of additional (relative to eeesr) predictors of state repression
On the Epistemology of Statistics, Sep 2014
articles that changed my thinking on what/how we can learn from data
Real-World Examples in Methods Papers, Jul 2014
real-world examples in methods papers should be examples for applied researchers to follow
Statistical Education in Political Science, May 2014
research design, probability, and mathematical statistics are necessary to a good statistical education
An Empirical Evaluation of Explanations for State Repression, Apr 2014
null-hypothesis significance testing is over/mis-used, predictive validity is important, and democracy/civil conflict partially measure state repression
Data Mining as Exploratory Data Analysis, Feb 2014
statistical learning should often be used in observational studies w/o (as-if) randomization
On Academic Publishers, Dec 2013
publishing could be nearly free and for-profit publishers don't add value to academic research
Identification, Public Policy, and Marijuana Legalization, Dec 2013
causal inference (necessary for policy recommendations imo) with observational data is often hard or impossible
GNU Make for Reproducible Data Analysis, Nov 2013
how to use GNU Make to make your research more reproducible
An Analysis of Polity IV and its Components, Oct 2013
Gleditsch and Ward (1997) aren't quite correct and Polity is mis/over-used
Git/GitHub, Transparency, and Legitimacy in Quantitative Research, Mar 2013
revision control (git) can help make research more transparent and reproducible
Analyzing Data from the Titanic, Jan 2013
predicting who survived the Titanic using a GLM and a GAM
Math Education and Political Science, Nov 2012
math camp is no substitute for years of undergraduate math
Defense Cuts and the "Revolution in Military Affairs", Jul 2012
why doesn't the Powell Doctrine work? (it's politicians)
Stress Physiology and Graduate School, Jan 2012
a summary of "Why Zebra's Don't Get Ulcers" (a book on stress) adapted for graduate students